Pachter predicts NPD May figures, still maintains PS3 price cut

Posted Jun 11, 2007 at 3:47PM EST by QJ Staff

Listed in: PS3, Wii, Xbox 360 Tags: Gamasutra, Michael Pachter, Microsoft, Pokemon, PS2, Sony

Gaming analyst Michael Pachter still sees the Wii at the lead for the sales figures of the month of May, reports Gamasutra. Though little has changed in the way he predicted the progress of the console wars, he has maintained that his analysis comes from a US$ 228 million in sales contribution from the PlayStation 3, Wii, Xbox 360, PSP and DS.

He also claimed that his estimated figures "reflects" the current generation software sales of US$ 105 million. Specifically, he eyed Nintendo's Pokemon Diamond, Pokemon Pearl, and Mario Party 8, Activision's Guitar Hero II, Spider-Man 3, and Shrek the Third, and Microsoft's Forza Motorsport 2 as big drivers for the consoles' sales performance last month. As a result, he estimated:

a 400,000 sales figure for the Nintendo Wii;
a 225,000 sales figure for Microsoft's Xbox 360; and,
a 100,000 sales figure for Sony's PlayStation 3.

He also expects a relative growth in software sales since the weak sales performance reported in April, owing some of the Wedbush Morgan analyst to state a 20% increase in software sales year-to-date and an optimistic 18% in total for the entire year.

But big on Pachter's pre-emptive analysis was his prediction that the Wii will see a modest hardware unit sales, as the supply and demand of both the Wii and the PlayStation 3 have reached a "near balance." In fact, he expects that the sales will be more modest than that of the period of 2002, where console prices averaged under US$ 200.

So it wouldn't be surprising to note that he still remains adamant about a likely PlayStation 3 price cut. In fact, he had said, "It is possible that SonyÂ’s cost of production for the PS3 has declined to the point that the company may consider a hardware price cut some time this summer," and predicted a price cut for the PS2 and the Xbox 360 before the holiday season.

Via Gamasutra

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Pachter predicts NPD May figures, still maintains PS3 price cut

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