Analyst: GTA 4 delay unlikely, raw sales inaccurate success gauge

Posted Apr 15, 2008 at 10:27PM by QJ Staff Listed in: PS3, Xbox 360 Tags: Rockstar North
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Grand Theft Auto IV for Ps3 and Xbox 360 - Image 1

With only a few more days before its release, Rockstar North's Grand Theft Auto IV is really on every hardcore gamer's peripheral vision. Of course, that includes gaming analysts. A week after Michael Pachter predicted that the game could be delayed again, UBS analyst Ben Schachter came forward to express faith that GTA 4 will no longer suffer any setback.

Schachter is much more concerned though with how investors will perceive the success of Grand Theft Auto IV (PlayStation 3, Xbox 360). According to him, raw sales alone are not an accurate gauge because next-gen consoles today are not as numerous compared to the PlayStation 2 and Xbox of old.

Instead, Schachter proposes the attach rate technique wherein the actual number of units sold will be divided to the number of owned PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 consoles. It's a bit mathematical but the bottom line here is that it's unfair to compare it to past GTA titles.

Schachter estimates that Grand Theft Auto IV will sell six million units in the United States alone and 10.5 million worldwide this year. However, the UBS analyst also believes that in the long run, it won't help Take-Two Entertainment that much because EA will still be able to purchase Take-Two. More updates as we get them.


Buy: [ GTA IV (PS3) ]
Buy: [ GTA IV (Xbox 360) ]

 
 
 

Comments [refresh]

by LordQuas431 - 2008-04-15 18:33
» .

You don't need to be an analyst to say that Michael Pachter is an idiot for saying it might be delayed, 3 weeks before release

by Henkibojj - 2008-04-15 20:50
» Ever heard of the counter act?

Take Two will not be overtaken by EA Games since T2 will produce more stock when EA buys stock, thus EA will never get a percentage high enough. Or so it seems.



http://www.gamespot.com/news/6188334.html

by CHUCKINGROCKSATSPACESHIPS - 2008-04-15 22:47
» Delayed!

I hope it's not delayed! I plan on taking the 29th off work to live in the world of GTA IV.

by mupet0000 - 2008-04-15 22:50
» It will not be delayed

I know that it wont be delayed and here is why:

The XBM and PSM final reviews have been released for GTA IV.



Rockstar have been releasing HUD (in-game) screenshots lately.



The Rockstar social club opens tomorrow.



Its way to close to the release date to delay.

by emcp - 2008-04-16 05:13
» :s

" It's a bit mathematical"



its called a percentage

lol

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