DS will leave PSP far behind by 2011, says Screen Digest |
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Given the huge lead DS is enjoying over PSP, analyst group Screen Digest from the UK believes that Nintendo's handheld will take 89% of market share in Japan - projected numbers are 112 million to 67 million respectively.The group published a report explaining how they came up with such a conclusion. Calling PSP a "portable PS2," the analysis attributes Nintendo's success to superior software. Sony's machine may be more powerful, but Ninty had huge titles such as Nintendogs, Professor Kawashima's Brain Training, Mario Kart DS, and other entries from wildly popular franchises.
As of May 2007, the big N reports to have an installed user base breaking past 41 million across all territories. It jumped from 38 million at the end of Q1 this year, while PSP was at 20 million at the time.
Screen Digest expects DS games sales to reach 106 million by the end of the year, with PSP at 48 million. Such domination is believed to extend 'til 2011, when spending on DS games reach US$ 1.5 billion in Japan, US$ 1.1 billion in the US, and US$ 750 million all over PAL territories. A total of $ 1.7 billion across the globe is expected for Sony.
On the good side, the group expects PSP to sell better by the end of 2007. Obviously, they don't believe that will be enough to give the dark horse a boost. Only time will tell if their words will hold true.
To read the full report, click on the Read link below.
45 Jumps PSP Homebrew - PSPDisp v0.4
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Comments [refresh]
That's like predicting the PS2 would have overcome the GC by 2008...next console will be out by then, and the sales will be near cold.
I predict the wii will win by 2020. Who wants to say I'm wrong? Just get back to me in 13 years....
Your analogy isn't quite right. The DS and PSP have been on the market for just over 2 years. Most console cycles of 3 years. So we'll see the next handhelds in late 2009 or 2010. Most successful consoles will keep selling for at least a year after it's successor hits the market. This is especially true for handhelds. So that puts at late 2010 or 2011. This analysis is estimating to the end of the DS/PSP life cycle, not beyond it.
by 2011 theres gona be like a psp3 or something like that jajajaja
and i think 2007 is the psp year so i dont think psp is gona bwin over the ds but i think it will sell the same amount
The DS has been beating the PSP BADLY in sales for the past 10 months... That's why everyone is having sales on PSP games, because those sections aren't making any money and are being phased out. People aren't buying PSP games because the "new load of great new games" that were supposed to be on the horizon never showed up. Other than a very very few exclusives like MGS Portable Ops and Final Fantasy, everything is still just weak ass ports of PS1 games. And not even any of the best selling PS1 games. If Sony brought out all the great PS1 titles for PSP, I would have run out and bought one instantly. Also, now that Sony has their new cutesy ROM set that doesn't allow you to play homebrew and emulations of PS1 games, sales for the PSP have dropped even further. Now the old PSP motherboard versions are worth $500 and up JUST FOR THE MAINBOARD, because nobody wants a brand new crippled PSP for $129. Sony, you have chosen....poorly.
The life cycle of handhelds isn't bound by that of the consoles. If the DS is still going strong then there would be no reason to make another handheld. The PSP might see a successor since it's doing poor in comparison. If thats the case PSP to DS differences will be higher than this.