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Analysts foresee fourth consecutive sales decline for June NPD results

Posted Jul 14, 2009 at 12:50PM EST by Mabie A.

Listed in: PS3, Wii, PSP, Xbox 360, Nintendo DS Tags: Activision Blizzard, EEDAR, Michael Pachter, Nintendo, NPD

If the analysts turn out right, then we just might see the fourth consecutive sales decline in the June results of NPD, and then we'll see that price cut happen. Michael Pachter of Wedbush Morgan and Jesse Divinich of EEDAR are synonymous in saying that sales will most likely be down by around 20-23%.

Pachter predicts that the US software sales will be down by 23%, from last year's US$ 876 to US$ 670. He also foresees that there will be a 43% year-on-year combined unit sales decline for the consoles.

Meanwhile, Divinich's forecasts aren't too far-off from Pachter's. Divinich predicts that there will be a 20% decrease to an estimated US$ 697. He also expects hardware unit sales for the consoles to go down by 33% over last year.

The drop in the software sales can be attributed to the lack of solid games that has been released as of late, while the hardware sales are obviously affected by the general economic situation.

How accurate will their predictions be? We'll find out on Thursday when the NPD results for the month of June gets released.

EEDAR June software sales predictions follow:

Prototype (Activision Blizzard, Xbox 360, 450,000 units)
Fight Night Round 4 (EA, Xbox 360 390,000 units)
Wii Fit w/Balance Board (Nintendo, Wii, 390,000 units)
EA Sports Active (EA, Wii, 350,000 units)
UFC 2009 Undisputed (THQ, Xbox 360, 275,000 units)
Prototype (Activision Blizzard, PS3, 230,000 units)
Red Faction: Guerrilla (THQ, Xbox 360, 225,000 units)
Fight Night Round 4 (EA, PS3, 216,000 units)
Wii Play w/Remote (Nintendo, Wii 180,000 units)
Ghostbusters ( Atari, Xbox 360, 175,222 units)

Wedbush Morgan and EEDAR hardware sales predictions:

DS - 700,000 (Webush) 725,000 (EEDAR)
Wii - 350,000 (Webush) 355,000 (EEDAR)
Xbox 360 - 225,000 (Webush) 230,000 (EEDAR)
PS3 - 165,000 (Webush) 170,000 (EEDAR)
PSP - 130,000 (Webush) 125,000 (EEDAR)
PS2 - 100,000 (Webush) N/A (EEDAR)

NPD: Gaming woos the ladies in 2009

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Really... I dont get why people with a PS3 would buy Prototype over Infamous. I mean, clearly if you want the most out of your console, you would always want the exclusives over multiplatform games. Reviews everywhere scored Infamous as a better game... and visually, Infamous was clearly superior in terms of graphics (the buildings in Prototype look like boxes to me).. just my opinion.

# Not just the lack of good games — EugeneE 2009-07-15 04:30

It's not just the lack of good games that's affecting the game market, it's also the fact that America is in a recession with over 9.5% of people out of work.

# There both wrong — Volomon 2009-07-15 10:30

Clearly the two are not avid gamers, which is something they should be to get insight. The only reason it's down so much is because theres nothing to buy literally a drought of games.

There won't be an upturn in games till the minimum next month then it should increase steadily till Christmas, then there should be a significant surge.

# omg.. — Csyrah 2009-07-16 18:59

WOW... all I stated was that I was suprised to see Prototype on the list and not Infamous... but I guess me being suprised about that is WRONG! because I'm not an avid gamer! so I deserve no insight at all!. Geez some of you guys are brutal. You going to throw me in hell too just for me being suprised over the popularity between two games? its just opinions guys! lets not get the panties in a bunch.

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Analysts foresee fourth consecutive sales decline for June NPD results

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