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Ozymandias goes Nostradamus, makes 2007 predictions

Posted Jan 2, 2007 at 1:32PM EST by QJ Staff

Listed in: PS3, Wii, PSP, Xbox 360, Nintendo DS Tags: Andre Vrignaud, apple news, Microsoft, Ozymandias, PlayStation Store, Sony

Andre Vrignaud, otherwise known to the net as Ozymandias, pulled a Nostradamus of his own recently with his predictions for 2007. Being a Microsoft spokesperson though, you'll have to admit that some of his predictions are somewhat pointed, even if they do happen to be very logical.

We'll tread lightly here with one of the somewhat obvious Microsoft-favored predictions as an example:

By the end of 2007, total lifetime unit sell-through of home consoles will be led by the Xbox 360, followed by NintendoÂ’s Wii, with the Playstation 3 third. This order will also be true of units sold-through solely in 2007 (ie, not lifetime sales).

There's enough evidence to make that prediction viable, though we'd have to say the Wii is catching up far quicker than anyone expected. Since the total number of PS3 units created does happen to be far less than the total number of Xbox 360 or Wii units sold, Sony is the obvious dark horse for a 2007 sell-through victory.

Here are the rest of his predictions. Take a good note of his PSP-related predictions, as our own Chris L. made a fearless forecast similar to Ozy's. As for everything else, just remember that this is all speculation rather than fact, though you're quite free to put in your own two cents on the predictions he's given.

The original PSP (with memory stick) will be discontinued, and replaced by a new model with an integrated hard drive. The new model will enable connectivity to the Playstation store via internet connection, and allow you to purchase and download both emulated PS1 and native PSP games directly. Over time (meaning not in 2007), it will also allow you to purchase music and movies from the Sony store.
The Playstation 3 will have an effective price drop of at least $100 by Thanksgiving 2007. By effective, I mean that itÂ’s also possible that the price will remain the same, but at least $100 of value will be added to the bundle.
Nintendo will release their own Live Arcade service for the Wii. Specifically, this means Nintendo will enable third-party developers to create, distribute, and sell casual games for the Wii and DS through a new Wii channel.
The Nintendo DS will continue to outsell the PSP in 2007. It will also enable DS <-> Wii wireless connectivity, enabling cross-platform gaming scenarios and the purchase of Nintendo DS casual games. It will not enable the download and purchase of full retail games for the DS, however.
Apple will expand their gaming efforts significantly. The most likely scenario is investment in iPod and the (soon to be announced) iPhone devices to enable a common game development platform for developers to target. This platform will include WiFi wireless connectivity, user accounts and presence, and the ability to trial and buy content from a games channel in the iTunes store. Apple will not enter the gaming market with a home console of their own.
HD-DVD will begin to pull ahead of Blu-Ray in the high-definition DVD format war. This will be measurable by number of DVDs available for either format on Amazon, and total player sales (including the Xbox 360Â’s HD-DVD add-on and the Playstation 3Â’s internal Blu-Ray drive).
Google will show significant public interest in the gaming sector for the first time, including interest in acquisitions to bolster their Ad-sense business. The most likely target will be IGA Worldwide (to combat MicrosoftÂ’s acquisition of Massive). If unsuccessful, Google will seek to acquire one of the larger game publishers on the market to gain a foothold in the in-game advertising market. Likely targets include Electronic Arts (though it would be extremely expensive), Activision, or THQ.

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The 360 may still have more units at the end of the 2007, but it won't SELL more units during 2007. The Wii will almost have caught up to the 360 by year-end, if it hasn't surpassed it. Why? 2 reasons:

Fun-factor

Price

At $150 cheaper (anyone who buys the cheap 360 is an idiot and will soon be paying an extra $150 to get the extra crap) it is only slightly over half price. And Wii games are designed to be FUN, not tedious or long. At least, so far. If they change that, it'll hurt them.

# haahah — Guest 2007-01-03 02:35

Finally they are getting rid of that useless PSP. We need PSP 2. The first one was so bad.

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Ozymandias goes Nostradamus, makes 2007 predictions

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