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DFC Intelligence: facts and figures about the ongoing console wars |
Listed in: News Tags: DFC Intelligence, Japan, North America
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Year after year we see a vicious cycle of war and hate between the super powers of the video gaming and interactive entertainment industry. People choose their sides and fight for their favorite consoles, hoping to come out the winner in the end. At this stage of the battle, DFC Intelligence has given out their latest forecasts and hard numbers on who's leading the console wars race.DFC has given out several forecasts and outlooks at the best and worst case scenarios for each console system to see which one will come out on top of the rest.
- DFC forecasts that the Wii will sell the most hardware units in Japan and could be the overall worldwide winner. However, the PlayStation 3 could be a strong second. Furthermore, by 2012 the PlayStation 3 may actually lead in software revenue even though the Wii has sold more units.
- Under DFCÂ’s best case scenario for the Xbox 360, the system is in a virtual tie with both the Wii and the PlayStation 3. However, unless the Xbox 360 can kick it into gear in the fourth quarter and through 2008, the system will probably finish in a fairly distant third. A big challenge for the Xbox 360 is building a base outside North America.
- The PlayStation 3 is looking to make a strong play for 2009 and beyond. For software revenue, the PlayStation 3 looks to be a solid platform for the 2009-2012 time period.
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Comments
I do agree with you though. I own a Wii and a PS3, but I have to say, DFC have made some bold claims there. I've owned my PS3 for about 3 months now and I've turned my Wii on once in that time, and that was only to see if I had any messages. I think the Wii's novelty will soon wear off (with its mostly child-like game library and no online gaming) and it will be a battle between 360 and PS3. I have to be honest though and say my money's on the PS3 - not because I bought, but THAT'S WHY I bought one. I could go out and buy a 360 right now, but I don't really seem the point - though Halo 3 does look the muts nuts!!!
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the ps3's 'killer apps' have all been a little poor - heavenly sword? meh. motorstorm? meh. i have looked at the 'upcoming titles' for ps3 (i own one) and am only truly interested in the ff13 stuff and mgs4.
the wii... i got a wii, thinking 'well there are a few good games'... but wiisports lasts about a week before it's boring... zelda is horrible... there are few games i even want on the wii.
and then there's the 360... i don't want any games on that system, but hopefully you've noticed i'm slightly atypical. in fact the 360 just sold a gazillion copies of halo3. there's gears of war, there's some other stuff... ninja gaiden 2 is coming!
what's my point? i don't believe the start the consoles have had says anything yet, i don't believe looking at ps2 will tell you about ps3. and unless nintendo release some better games for the wii it will be forgotten. mario and ssbb look fun.
i don't think the 'research' people have a chance of calling the console wars this time around... they may make a lucky guess but most of their 'reasons' are bogus.
btw the 360 has tanked in japan, but is quite popular elsewhere... you can't really claim it's 'strong' out there. mind you the ps3 isn't exactly winning any awards for sales either.
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I had such high hopes for the Wii, but Mister Common Sense is right, Nintendo seems to have got lazy. 95% of Nintendo adverts I see are for the DS. I'm also gonna stick my neck out and say that the Wiimote is not that good either!!! It's good for the pointing side of things, but I think if we're all honest, it's very temperamental in-game. I mean, how many times has Tiger Woods hit the ball when you're raising the club behind you - same problem with the Wii Sports Golf too lol... and it's not my system, as 4 of my friends stupidly bought a Wii, and it happens on theirs! Worth a try I spose, but I don't think the technology is quite there yet.
I might sell my Wii to my friend who (for some reason) still wants one, even though he's played my PS3! Jokes on him though, becuase I'll put the cash towards a 360 as I think it's a good strong system and I what to see what all the Halo 3 fuss is about WOO!
It's like I'm in the 90's again when I wanted a SNES and a MegaDrive lol!
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Anyways, who cares, brain washing dumb consumers into buying your product does not make it the best....and selling more units does not make it the best...it really means nothing to me and everything to the companies...so who cares. We will all get our games and our systems will be around untill the next gen...why should we care which company makes more money then the next ?
Also, "predicting" Nintendo as the "winner" is a HUGE no brainer....seriously, do they get paid for this ?
Now let me play devils advocate for abit...
Wii has already "won", but is not a system most harcore gamers will play 10+ hrs a day.
PS3 will be no good until 2009-10, right around when the "next-gen" will start, so why do I want it? 360 is doing good now and even better with H3 but has a dim future (although a few titles like fable 2 down the road will be nice), but by 2010 will have a new system anyways.
I'm not going to say who I think the winner is by those 3 statements...but I think it's obvious which console is the best experience RIGHT NOW....
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Really same can be said for 360 right since we all know that 360 game out in 05 and its current life span or any xbox system is 4 years. possible 5.
So by 2010 Wii and 360 could be dead. While PS3 will still be going on. And this is facts based on the time when gamecube to wii and xbox 1 to 360 time of life. Also i think MS needs to keep the 360 on market for awhile. Cause if they don't they will never make money.
BTW the Wii is a good console.
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The 360 on the other hand being basically a PC in architecture has a tremendous amount of development room whilst being able to remain compatible with the games available right now.
It has 65nm coming any moment, the GPU will also go down to 65nm sometime. In singapore they stated that the 45nm CPU is in development and should be ready for testing in 2008. My point here is that by 2010 which is when the Anal ists are predicting that the 360 is a distant 3rd they have not considered that the 360 will be more advanced quieter cooler and capable of so much more than right now without having to rebrand itself as xbox 3.
This for me means that xbox will contiinue to hold its own and sales can continue to grow in a market that is becoming bigger. If I were do play Anal ist i would support an argument that by 2010 and onwards xbox will also have an xbox slim. With a 45nm CPU and GPU and possibly running games from a multi gigabyte flashcard as these will also be cheap by that time. And just maybe Nintendo will again make a real console.
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... as for the PS3 gaining an edge in 09'... uh who cares? Last time I checked we're still in 07' and there's absolutely nothing on that system I'd be willing to spend that kinda $$$ for. But on the bright side, it has 2-3 xmas's to entice me and come down in price.
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